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Georgië, die Grensoorlog, en die Modus Operandi van Kommunisme
Toe Rusland onlangs Georgië inval het ek aanvanklik nie geweet wat om te dink nie. Dis waar dat Rusland miskien oorreageer het, het ek gedink, maar was dit nie waar dat Georgië probeer het om die Ossetiërs, 'n etniese minderheid, uit te roei nie? Volgens die Georgiërs het die Suid-Ossetiese Seperatiste eerste geskiet, maar dit kon nie bewys word nie. Volgens die Russe het die Georgiërs duisende Suid-Ossetiërs wat ook Russiese burgers is, uitgeroei, maar dit kon ook nie bewys word nie. Al wat kon bewys word, is dat die Russe Georgië inval. Wat moet 'n mens nou hiervan dink? Dit lyk maar taamlik asof ons propaganda van alby kante af kry. Watter kant het reg? Het enige kant reg? Die hele matriks van moontlikhede is soos 'n massiewe Rubikskubus: hoe langer jy die raaisel probeer oplos, hoe moeliker word hy. En ek kon nog nooit 'n Rubikskubus oplos nie.
Maar dan het ons mos die modus operandi van die kommunistiese lande gedurende die Koue Oorlog. Hulle sê mos graag dat ons "fasiste" primitief is om in Koue Oorlog-terme te dink, maar ek's nie so seker nie. Met Putin, 'n man van die KGB, agter die stuur, glo ek ongelukkig nie aan Perestroika nie.
Hier's die geskiedenis agter ons Grensoorlog. 'n Mens hoor nie deesdae soveel hiervan nie, maar dit het gebeur. Dit was blykbaar die grootste hoeveelheid Russiese soldate en militêre hardeware buite Rusland sedert die Tweede Wêreldoorlog wat in die jare Sestig hier op ons drumpel kom parkeer het. Hulle en hulle Kubaanse kamerade was hoofsaaklik agter Suid-Afrikaanse goud en Angolese olie aan; vandaar die Grensoorlog. Ons het hulle lelik op hulle kollektiewe neus laat kyk en hulle imperialistiese planne in Afrika in die wiele gery. Op die ou end was die Grensoorlog so duur dat hulle koffers leeg was en hulle nie verder die Koue Oorlogspeletjie met ons kon speel nie; vandaar die sogenaamde "dood van kommunisme" ("The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated!").
Maar wag net 'n oomblik! Ons was daai tyd mos nog onder die taamlik nasionaal-sosialistiese NP-regering. Ek is seker geen patriotiese Suid-Afrikaner hunker terug na daai dae nie, ten minste nie as hy by sy volle positiewe is nie. Het die Russe dan nie dalk reg nie? Beveg hulle nie dalk regtig wêreldwye fasisme en red hulle kamerade (van alle nasionaliteite) nie?
Hokaai! Wat ons dan eers moet aanneem, is dat die mense wat gehelp word, reeds met die Russe geaffilieerd is. Hulle boender mos nie agter elke klein oorloggie aan nie, hulle help eers as hulle kamerade in gevaar is. En hier is die belangrike punt: die ANC was nie altyd kommunisties nie. Die kommunistiese element in die party was aanvanklik maar swak. (Ek weet, want my eie familie was in die vroeë geskiedenis van die ANC betrokke; een van my familielede was selfs die leermeester van Sol Plaatjie.) Maar toe die kommuniste sien dat daar tweestryd in Suid-Afrika is, kies hulle mos kant. Hulle lei die militante ANC-lede in Rusland op. Ons huidige President, Mnr. Mbeki, so gaaf soos wat hy is, het sy militêre opleiding in 'n basis buite Moskou ontvang.
Nou maak dit skielik sin. Só loop die plannetjie van die gewese Sowjet-Unie: hulle vind broeiende onrus in 'n deel van die wêreld waar daar nuttige hulpbronne vir die uitbreiding van Moskou-gesentreerde kommusisme is. Hulle blaas die verloorkant se gedagtes aan totdat die konflik ontvlam (kommunistiese sametrekkings, gewelddadige teenstand, die uitdeel van paspoorte, de lot). Daarna help hulle hulle nuutgevonde kamerade. Selfs as hulle verloor (soos hier aanvanklik die geval was), het hulle steeds die lojaliteit van een helfte van die konflik wat deur hulle geskep is; op een of ander stadium kan hulle weer terugkom (bv. in Suid-Afrika, waar ons tans 'n ekonomiese ooreenkoms rakende goud en diamante en dalk ook steenkool-olie met die Russe het).
Presies dieselfde ding het nou in Georgië gebeur. Gazprom, die Russiese energiemaatskappy, probeer om sy houvas oor Sentraal-Asië en Oos-Europa te versterk deur die kraantjies toe te draai as lande wat deur hom van olie voorsien word, nie sy arbitrêre prysverhogings aanvaar nie. Die oliemaatskappy self is van sy wettige eienaar, 'n Russiese besigheidsman, afgevat en genasionaliseer, omdat dit nie sin maak vir 'n private maatskappy om al sy kliënte na die kompetiese toe te jaag deur die pryse te verhoog en die kliënte te probeer afpers nie. Toe Rusland (d.m.v. 'n genasionaliseerde Gazprom) daai triek probeer, begin Gazprom-kliënte om pype na Georgië aan te lê. Die Russe het toe reeds 'n vuil vingertjie in die Georgiese krisis. Terwyl hulle Sjinese kamerade die wêreld besig hou met 'n o-so-vriendelike Olimpiese openingsseremonie, val die Suid-Ossetiese Seperatiste Georgiese dorpe aan; Gerogië moet reageer; en ons weet almal wat gebeur het.
Waaraan ek nou eers dink: Kameraad Zuma, wat so alewig die geregtigheid van die Suid-Afrikaanse howe ontduik (so ewe asof hy vir sy eie mense bang is, nie waar nie?), is mos nie 'n slim mens nie. Hy sê elke week of wat iets anders. Want hy is dom. Klink dit bekend? Is daar nie nog 'n soortgelyke internasionale figuur nie? Ek gee jou sommer die antwoord: Dmitrij Medvedev.
"Wanneer olifante in 'n tweestryd gewikkel is, is dit die gras wat moet deurloop."
===== English version =====
Georgia, the Border War, and the Modus Operandi of Communism
When Russia invaded Georgia recently, I did not know what to think. It's true that Russia may have overreacted, I thought, but wasn't it true that Georgia tried to kill off the Ossetians, an ethnic minority? According to the Georgians, the South Ossetian Seperatists shot first, but it could not be proven. According to the Russians, the Georgians killed thousands of South Ossetians who were also Russian citizens, but that could not be proven either. The only thing that could be proven was that the Russians were invading Georgia. It looks as if we're getting propaganda from both sides. Which side is right? Is any side right? This whole matrix of possibilities is like a massive Rubik's Cube: the longer you try to solve the puzzle, the harder it gets. And I never could solve a Rubik's Cube.
But then we have to consider the modus operandi of the communist countries during the Cold War. They like saying that we "fascists" are primitive to think in Cold War terms, but I'm not so sure. With Putin, a KGB man, behind the wheel, I unfortunately do not believe in Perestroika.
Here is the history of our Border War. One doesn't hear of it so often these days, but it happened. It was apparently the greatest amount of Russian soldiers and military hardware outside of Russia since the Second World War which parked on our doorstep in the Sixties. They and their Cuban comrades were mainly after South African gold and Angolan oil; hence the Border War. We kicked their collective behind and halted their imperialist plans in Africa. Eventually the Border War was so expensive that their coffers were empty and they could no longer play the Cold War game with us; hence the so-called "death of communism" ("The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated!").
But wait just a moment! At that time we were still under the quite nasional-socialist NP government. I'm sure no patriotic South African wants to return to those days! Are the Russians then right, perhaps? Are they not perhaps really fighting worldwide fascism, saving their comrades (of all nationalities)?
Hold it! What we must first assume is that those who are helped are already affiliated with the Russians. I mean, they won't just interfere with every little war, they only help if their comrades are in danger. And here is the important point: the ANC was not always communist. The communist element was originally very weak. (I know this, because my own family was involved in the early history of the ANC; one of my relatives was even the mentor of Sol Plaatjie.) But when the communists saw that there was a conflict situation brewing in South Africa, they seized the opportunity and picked sides. They trained the militant ANC members in Russia. Our current President, Mr Mbeki, as kind as he is, got his military education in a base outside Moscow.
Now it suddenly makes sense. This is how the plan of the former Soviet Union goes: they find unrest breeding in some corner of the world where there are useful resources for the expansion of Moscow-centered communism. They fire the thoughts of the losing side until the conflict reaches the point of combustion (communist rallies, violent resistance, distribution of passports, the works). Thereafter they help their newfound comrades. Even if they lose (as was the case here, initially), they still have the loyalty of one half of the conflict that they created; at some or other stage they can return (e.g. in South Africa, where we currently have an economic partnership with the Russians concerning gold and diamonds and perhaps also coal-oil).
Exactly the same thing has now happened in Georgia. Gazprom, the Russian energy company, tried to strengthen its hold over Central Asia and Eastern Europe by closing the taps if countries which were being supplied with Russian oil did not want to pay their arbitrary price increases. The oil company itself was taken from its lawful owner, a Russian businessman, and was nationalised, because it does not make sense for a private company to chase all its customers to the competition by increasing its prices and trying to control the market. When Russia tried that tactic (by way of a nationalised Gazprom), Gazprom clients started building pipelines to Georgia. The Russians already had a dirty little finger in the Georgian pie. While their Chinese comrades distracted the world with an oh-so-friendly Olympic opening ceremony, the South Ossetian seperatists attacked Georgian towns; Georgia had to react; and we all know what happened.
Something occurs to me at this point: Comrade Zuma, who is continually running from the justice of South African courts (almost as if he were afraid of his own people, not so?), is not a clever person. Every week he says something different. Because he is stupid. Does that sound familiar? Is there not a similar international figure? I will give you the answer: Dmitry Medvedev.
"When two elephants struggle, it is the grass that suffers."
Georgië, die Grensoorlog, en die Modus Operandi van Kommunisme
Toe Rusland onlangs Georgië inval het ek aanvanklik nie geweet wat om te dink nie. Dis waar dat Rusland miskien oorreageer het, het ek gedink, maar was dit nie waar dat Georgië probeer het om die Ossetiërs, 'n etniese minderheid, uit te roei nie? Volgens die Georgiërs het die Suid-Ossetiese Seperatiste eerste geskiet, maar dit kon nie bewys word nie. Volgens die Russe het die Georgiërs duisende Suid-Ossetiërs wat ook Russiese burgers is, uitgeroei, maar dit kon ook nie bewys word nie. Al wat kon bewys word, is dat die Russe Georgië inval. Wat moet 'n mens nou hiervan dink? Dit lyk maar taamlik asof ons propaganda van alby kante af kry. Watter kant het reg? Het enige kant reg? Die hele matriks van moontlikhede is soos 'n massiewe Rubikskubus: hoe langer jy die raaisel probeer oplos, hoe moeliker word hy. En ek kon nog nooit 'n Rubikskubus oplos nie.
Maar dan het ons mos die modus operandi van die kommunistiese lande gedurende die Koue Oorlog. Hulle sê mos graag dat ons "fasiste" primitief is om in Koue Oorlog-terme te dink, maar ek's nie so seker nie. Met Putin, 'n man van die KGB, agter die stuur, glo ek ongelukkig nie aan Perestroika nie.
Hier's die geskiedenis agter ons Grensoorlog. 'n Mens hoor nie deesdae soveel hiervan nie, maar dit het gebeur. Dit was blykbaar die grootste hoeveelheid Russiese soldate en militêre hardeware buite Rusland sedert die Tweede Wêreldoorlog wat in die jare Sestig hier op ons drumpel kom parkeer het. Hulle en hulle Kubaanse kamerade was hoofsaaklik agter Suid-Afrikaanse goud en Angolese olie aan; vandaar die Grensoorlog. Ons het hulle lelik op hulle kollektiewe neus laat kyk en hulle imperialistiese planne in Afrika in die wiele gery. Op die ou end was die Grensoorlog so duur dat hulle koffers leeg was en hulle nie verder die Koue Oorlogspeletjie met ons kon speel nie; vandaar die sogenaamde "dood van kommunisme" ("The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated!").
Maar wag net 'n oomblik! Ons was daai tyd mos nog onder die taamlik nasionaal-sosialistiese NP-regering. Ek is seker geen patriotiese Suid-Afrikaner hunker terug na daai dae nie, ten minste nie as hy by sy volle positiewe is nie. Het die Russe dan nie dalk reg nie? Beveg hulle nie dalk regtig wêreldwye fasisme en red hulle kamerade (van alle nasionaliteite) nie?
Hokaai! Wat ons dan eers moet aanneem, is dat die mense wat gehelp word, reeds met die Russe geaffilieerd is. Hulle boender mos nie agter elke klein oorloggie aan nie, hulle help eers as hulle kamerade in gevaar is. En hier is die belangrike punt: die ANC was nie altyd kommunisties nie. Die kommunistiese element in die party was aanvanklik maar swak. (Ek weet, want my eie familie was in die vroeë geskiedenis van die ANC betrokke; een van my familielede was selfs die leermeester van Sol Plaatjie.) Maar toe die kommuniste sien dat daar tweestryd in Suid-Afrika is, kies hulle mos kant. Hulle lei die militante ANC-lede in Rusland op. Ons huidige President, Mnr. Mbeki, so gaaf soos wat hy is, het sy militêre opleiding in 'n basis buite Moskou ontvang.
Nou maak dit skielik sin. Só loop die plannetjie van die gewese Sowjet-Unie: hulle vind broeiende onrus in 'n deel van die wêreld waar daar nuttige hulpbronne vir die uitbreiding van Moskou-gesentreerde kommusisme is. Hulle blaas die verloorkant se gedagtes aan totdat die konflik ontvlam (kommunistiese sametrekkings, gewelddadige teenstand, die uitdeel van paspoorte, de lot). Daarna help hulle hulle nuutgevonde kamerade. Selfs as hulle verloor (soos hier aanvanklik die geval was), het hulle steeds die lojaliteit van een helfte van die konflik wat deur hulle geskep is; op een of ander stadium kan hulle weer terugkom (bv. in Suid-Afrika, waar ons tans 'n ekonomiese ooreenkoms rakende goud en diamante en dalk ook steenkool-olie met die Russe het).
Presies dieselfde ding het nou in Georgië gebeur. Gazprom, die Russiese energiemaatskappy, probeer om sy houvas oor Sentraal-Asië en Oos-Europa te versterk deur die kraantjies toe te draai as lande wat deur hom van olie voorsien word, nie sy arbitrêre prysverhogings aanvaar nie. Die oliemaatskappy self is van sy wettige eienaar, 'n Russiese besigheidsman, afgevat en genasionaliseer, omdat dit nie sin maak vir 'n private maatskappy om al sy kliënte na die kompetiese toe te jaag deur die pryse te verhoog en die kliënte te probeer afpers nie. Toe Rusland (d.m.v. 'n genasionaliseerde Gazprom) daai triek probeer, begin Gazprom-kliënte om pype na Georgië aan te lê. Die Russe het toe reeds 'n vuil vingertjie in die Georgiese krisis. Terwyl hulle Sjinese kamerade die wêreld besig hou met 'n o-so-vriendelike Olimpiese openingsseremonie, val die Suid-Ossetiese Seperatiste Georgiese dorpe aan; Gerogië moet reageer; en ons weet almal wat gebeur het.
Waaraan ek nou eers dink: Kameraad Zuma, wat so alewig die geregtigheid van die Suid-Afrikaanse howe ontduik (so ewe asof hy vir sy eie mense bang is, nie waar nie?), is mos nie 'n slim mens nie. Hy sê elke week of wat iets anders. Want hy is dom. Klink dit bekend? Is daar nie nog 'n soortgelyke internasionale figuur nie? Ek gee jou sommer die antwoord: Dmitrij Medvedev.
"Wanneer olifante in 'n tweestryd gewikkel is, is dit die gras wat moet deurloop."
===== English version =====
Georgia, the Border War, and the Modus Operandi of Communism
When Russia invaded Georgia recently, I did not know what to think. It's true that Russia may have overreacted, I thought, but wasn't it true that Georgia tried to kill off the Ossetians, an ethnic minority? According to the Georgians, the South Ossetian Seperatists shot first, but it could not be proven. According to the Russians, the Georgians killed thousands of South Ossetians who were also Russian citizens, but that could not be proven either. The only thing that could be proven was that the Russians were invading Georgia. It looks as if we're getting propaganda from both sides. Which side is right? Is any side right? This whole matrix of possibilities is like a massive Rubik's Cube: the longer you try to solve the puzzle, the harder it gets. And I never could solve a Rubik's Cube.
But then we have to consider the modus operandi of the communist countries during the Cold War. They like saying that we "fascists" are primitive to think in Cold War terms, but I'm not so sure. With Putin, a KGB man, behind the wheel, I unfortunately do not believe in Perestroika.
Here is the history of our Border War. One doesn't hear of it so often these days, but it happened. It was apparently the greatest amount of Russian soldiers and military hardware outside of Russia since the Second World War which parked on our doorstep in the Sixties. They and their Cuban comrades were mainly after South African gold and Angolan oil; hence the Border War. We kicked their collective behind and halted their imperialist plans in Africa. Eventually the Border War was so expensive that their coffers were empty and they could no longer play the Cold War game with us; hence the so-called "death of communism" ("The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated!").
But wait just a moment! At that time we were still under the quite nasional-socialist NP government. I'm sure no patriotic South African wants to return to those days! Are the Russians then right, perhaps? Are they not perhaps really fighting worldwide fascism, saving their comrades (of all nationalities)?
Hold it! What we must first assume is that those who are helped are already affiliated with the Russians. I mean, they won't just interfere with every little war, they only help if their comrades are in danger. And here is the important point: the ANC was not always communist. The communist element was originally very weak. (I know this, because my own family was involved in the early history of the ANC; one of my relatives was even the mentor of Sol Plaatjie.) But when the communists saw that there was a conflict situation brewing in South Africa, they seized the opportunity and picked sides. They trained the militant ANC members in Russia. Our current President, Mr Mbeki, as kind as he is, got his military education in a base outside Moscow.
Now it suddenly makes sense. This is how the plan of the former Soviet Union goes: they find unrest breeding in some corner of the world where there are useful resources for the expansion of Moscow-centered communism. They fire the thoughts of the losing side until the conflict reaches the point of combustion (communist rallies, violent resistance, distribution of passports, the works). Thereafter they help their newfound comrades. Even if they lose (as was the case here, initially), they still have the loyalty of one half of the conflict that they created; at some or other stage they can return (e.g. in South Africa, where we currently have an economic partnership with the Russians concerning gold and diamonds and perhaps also coal-oil).
Exactly the same thing has now happened in Georgia. Gazprom, the Russian energy company, tried to strengthen its hold over Central Asia and Eastern Europe by closing the taps if countries which were being supplied with Russian oil did not want to pay their arbitrary price increases. The oil company itself was taken from its lawful owner, a Russian businessman, and was nationalised, because it does not make sense for a private company to chase all its customers to the competition by increasing its prices and trying to control the market. When Russia tried that tactic (by way of a nationalised Gazprom), Gazprom clients started building pipelines to Georgia. The Russians already had a dirty little finger in the Georgian pie. While their Chinese comrades distracted the world with an oh-so-friendly Olympic opening ceremony, the South Ossetian seperatists attacked Georgian towns; Georgia had to react; and we all know what happened.
Something occurs to me at this point: Comrade Zuma, who is continually running from the justice of South African courts (almost as if he were afraid of his own people, not so?), is not a clever person. Every week he says something different. Because he is stupid. Does that sound familiar? Is there not a similar international figure? I will give you the answer: Dmitry Medvedev.
"When two elephants struggle, it is the grass that suffers."
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